Mercury vs. Lynx Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Monday, July 13 (2026)

Tonight's WNBA showdown between the Phoenix Mercury and the Minnesota Lynx promises to be an intriguing battle, with the Lynx entering as heavy favorites. As an avid sports analyst, I find this matchup particularly fascinating due to the recent form of both teams and the potential for an upset.

The Lynx's Dominance

The Lynx have been on a roll, securing two consecutive wins and claiming the best record in the WNBA. Their victory over the Liberty on Saturday was a testament to their resilience, especially considering the close score of 90-85. With a 17-6 record, the Lynx are a force to be reckoned with, and their 12.5-point spread advantage over the Mercury reflects this dominance.

Mercury's Struggle

In contrast, the Mercury are facing a three-game losing streak, with their latest defeat against the Aces being particularly humiliating. Shooting at a mere 35% from the floor, they were outclassed by the Aces, who ran away with a 48-point victory. This loss serves as a stark reminder of the Mercury's current struggles, especially when compared to their runner-up finish in last year's WNBA Finals.

Historical Context

The Lynx have already defeated the Mercury twice this season, avenging their playoff exit at the hands of Phoenix last year. In both matchups, the Lynx showcased their offensive prowess, with the second game resulting in a 111-77 rout. This dominance over the Mercury, coupled with the Lynx's current form, makes them strong favorites for tonight's game.

Key Player Insights

One player to watch is Kahleah Copper, the Mercury's leading scorer with an average of 20.3 PPG. Copper's performance has been impressive, but he has struggled on the road, averaging only 16.8 PPG away from home. On the other hand, Courtney Williams of the Lynx has been consistent, averaging 15.8 PPG. However, he has been held below 16 points in six of the last seven games, which could be a cause for concern for the Lynx.

Injury Report

The injury report reveals that the Mercury will be without forward Natasha Mack (foot) and guard Sami Whitcomb (knee) is probable. Meanwhile, the Lynx will be missing forward Emma Cechova (knee) and forward Naphessa Collier (ankle). These injuries could impact the teams' strategies and performance, especially with key players missing from the lineup.

Predictions and Picks

Given the Lynx's recent form and their historical dominance over the Mercury, I predict a comfortable win for the Lynx. However, the Mercury's ability to surprise, as seen in their season opener against Las Vegas, cannot be overlooked. With a 5.26x payout for a Mercury win, there's potential for a lucrative upset.

Deeper Analysis

The Lynx's success can be attributed to their strong 3-point shooting, with at least 10 3-pointers knocked down in four straight games. Conversely, the Mercury's 3-point defense is the worst in the league, which could be a decisive factor. Additionally, the Lynx's ability to limit the Mercury's scoring, as seen in their previous matchups, gives them a significant advantage.

Conclusion

Tonight's game promises to be an exciting battle, with the Lynx favored but the Mercury capable of pulling off an upset. As an analyst, I'm intrigued by the potential for an upset, especially given the Mercury's history of surprising performances. Make your picks, and let's see if the Mercury can rebound from their recent setbacks and challenge the mighty Lynx.

Mercury vs. Lynx Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Monday, July 13 (2026)

References

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Recommended Articles
Article information

Author: Mrs. Angelic Larkin

Last Updated:

Views: 5809

Rating: 4.7 / 5 (67 voted)

Reviews: 82% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Mrs. Angelic Larkin

Birthday: 1992-06-28

Address: Apt. 413 8275 Mueller Overpass, South Magnolia, IA 99527-6023

Phone: +6824704719725

Job: District Real-Estate Facilitator

Hobby: Letterboxing, Vacation, Poi, Homebrewing, Mountain biking, Slacklining, Cabaret

Introduction: My name is Mrs. Angelic Larkin, I am a cute, charming, funny, determined, inexpensive, joyous, cheerful person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.